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icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
Экономика·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
Экономика·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

442 - 445k 18%

432 - 434k 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

442 - 445k 18%

432 - 434k 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<432k

$0 Объем

15%

432 - 434k

$78 Объем

17%

434 - 436k

$78 Объем

19%

436 - 438k

$87 Объем

22%

438 - 440k

$0 Объем

16%

440 - 442k

$0 Объем

12%

442 - 445k

$40 Объем

11%

>445k

$37 Объем

8%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data point to stabilization in median home values near current levels, with existing-home median sales prices holding around $408,000–$417,000 through early 2026 amid persistently elevated mortgage rates above 6% and gradually rising inventory. This environment has produced only modest monthly gains or slight pullbacks in indices tracking national medians, keeping trader focus on whether seasonal spring demand and any further softening in rates can push the May 31 reading into the 436k–438k band that currently carries the highest implied probability. Competitive odds across the 432k–440k range reflect tight uncertainty over short-term volatility and the limited time remaining before resolution, with upcoming releases on mortgage applications and regional price indices likely serving as the final catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Объем
$319
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data point to stabilization in median home values near current levels, with existing-home median sales prices holding around $408,000–$417,000 through early 2026 amid persistently elevated mortgage rates above 6% and gradually rising inventory. This environment has produced only modest monthly gains or slight pullbacks in indices tracking national medians, keeping trader focus on whether seasonal spring demand and any further softening in rates can push the May 31 reading into the 436k–438k band that currently carries the highest implied probability. Competitive odds across the 432k–440k range reflect tight uncertainty over short-term volatility and the limited time remaining before resolution, with upcoming releases on mortgage applications and regional price indices likely serving as the final catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Объем
$319
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «436 - 438k» с 22%, за ним следует «434 - 436k» с 19%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 22¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 22%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» — «436 - 438k» с 22%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 22%. Следующий ближайший исход — «434 - 436k» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.