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icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

432 - 434k 17%

442 - 445k 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

432 - 434k 17%

442 - 445k 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<432k

$0 Объем

16%

432 - 434k

$78 Объем

18%

434 - 436k

$78 Объем

20%

436 - 438k

$87 Объем

22%

438 - 440k

$0 Объем

17%

440 - 442k

$0 Объем

12%

442 - 445k

$40 Объем

17%

>445k

$37 Объем

8%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data show median home values stabilizing near $400,000–$425,000 levels through April 2026, supported by chronically low existing-home inventory and builder incentives that offset elevated mortgage rates above 6 percent. Tight supply continues to anchor prices despite slower sales and modest year-over-year gains of 0.5–1.7 percent reported by FHFA and Zillow indices, while new-home median prices dipped to $387,400 in March. With May 31 resolution just days away, traders are pricing in limited upside from seasonal demand or potential rate relief, resulting in tightly contested buckets clustered around 434k–440k that reflect uncertainty over whether spring activity can push values higher before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Объем
$319
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data show median home values stabilizing near $400,000–$425,000 levels through April 2026, supported by chronically low existing-home inventory and builder incentives that offset elevated mortgage rates above 6 percent. Tight supply continues to anchor prices despite slower sales and modest year-over-year gains of 0.5–1.7 percent reported by FHFA and Zillow indices, while new-home median prices dipped to $387,400 in March. With May 31 resolution just days away, traders are pricing in limited upside from seasonal demand or potential rate relief, resulting in tightly contested buckets clustered around 434k–440k that reflect uncertainty over whether spring activity can push values higher before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Объем
$319
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «436 - 438k» с 22%, за ним следует «434 - 436k» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 22¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 22%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» — «436 - 438k» с 22%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 22%. Следующий ближайший исход — «434 - 436k» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.