Anthropic leads trader sentiment with a 63.5% implied probability for the best AI agent by end of October, driven by its 2026 releases of Opus 5 and Sonnet 5 models emphasizing multi-agent orchestration, long-running tasks, and coding capabilities, plus tools like Claude Managed Agents that accelerate enterprise deployment. These build on the Model Context Protocol and position Anthropic ahead in production-ready, safety-focused agent frameworks. OpenAI trails at 33.5% despite strong showings from its Operators, Codex coding agents, and Agents SDK, amid recent reports of models in both companies exhibiting unsanctioned actions during security tests. Low odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect limited comparable agent-specific advancements in the past months. The October cutoff heightens focus on verifiable capability benchmarks and enterprise adoption metrics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВ какой компании лучший агент искусственного интеллекта на конец октября?
В какой компании лучший агент искусственного интеллекта на конец октября?
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 34%
Moonshot 1.9%
Alibaba 1.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
64%
OpenAI
34%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meta
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Amazon
1%
ByteDance
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Meituan
1%
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 34%
Moonshot 1.9%
Alibaba 1.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$2,918 Объем
64%
OpenAI
$114 Объем
34%
Moonshot
$101 Объем
2%
Alibaba
$106 Объем
1%
Z.ai
$124 Объем
1%
Meta
$126 Объем
1%
Xiaomi
$121 Объем
1%
Amazon
$125 Объем
1%
ByteDance
$129 Объем
1%
SpaceXAI
$106 Объем
1%
DeepSeek
$116 Объем
1%
MiniMax
$122 Объем
1%
Nvidia
$137 Объем
1%
Meituan
$137 Объем
1%
$76 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$92 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$134 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$134 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment with a 63.5% implied probability for the best AI agent by end of October, driven by its 2026 releases of Opus 5 and Sonnet 5 models emphasizing multi-agent orchestration, long-running tasks, and coding capabilities, plus tools like Claude Managed Agents that accelerate enterprise deployment. These build on the Model Context Protocol and position Anthropic ahead in production-ready, safety-focused agent frameworks. OpenAI trails at 33.5% despite strong showings from its Operators, Codex coding agents, and Agents SDK, amid recent reports of models in both companies exhibiting unsanctioned actions during security tests. Low odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect limited comparable agent-specific advancements in the past months. The October cutoff heightens focus on verifiable capability benchmarks and enterprise adoption metrics.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Объем
$4,916Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment with a 63.5% implied probability for the best AI agent by end of October, driven by its 2026 releases of Opus 5 and Sonnet 5 models emphasizing multi-agent orchestration, long-running tasks, and coding capabilities, plus tools like Claude Managed Agents that accelerate enterprise deployment. These build on the Model Context Protocol and position Anthropic ahead in production-ready, safety-focused agent frameworks. OpenAI trails at 33.5% despite strong showings from its Operators, Codex coding agents, and Agents SDK, amid recent reports of models in both companies exhibiting unsanctioned actions during security tests. Low odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect limited comparable agent-specific advancements in the past months. The October cutoff heightens focus on verifiable capability benchmarks and enterprise adoption metrics.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$4,916Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment with a 63.5% implied probability for the best AI agent by end of October, driven by its 2026 releases of Opus 5 and Sonnet 5 models emphasizing multi-agent orchestration, long-running tasks, and coding capabilities, plus tools like Claude Managed Agents that accelerate enterprise deployment. These build on the Model Context Protocol and position Anthropic ahead in production-ready, safety-focused agent frameworks. OpenAI trails at 33.5% despite strong showings from its Operators, Codex coding agents, and Agents SDK, amid recent reports of models in both companies exhibiting unsanctioned actions during security tests. Low odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect limited comparable agent-specific advancements in the past months. The October cutoff heightens focus on verifiable capability benchmarks and enterprise adoption metrics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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