Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains shaped by the Abraham Accords framework and conditional Arab state positions, particularly Saudi Arabia's linkage of full ties to Palestinian statehood progress. As of February 2026, 169 UN members recognize Israel, leaving roughly two dozen holdouts where new formal relations by December 31 would represent notable shifts. Recent developments include Venezuela's renewal of consular ties in August 2026 and sustained engagement with Abraham Accords partners despite Gaza-related pressures. Latin American outreach, including potential embassy moves in Jerusalem, alongside any late-2026 multilateral talks or conflict de-escalation signals, could influence remaining decisions. Trader consensus incorporates these incremental signals against the low historical rate of new full recognitions in recent years.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие страны признают Израиль к 31 декабря?
$682,677 Объем

Венесуэла
14%

Ливан
10%

Индонезия
10%

Саудовская Аравия
9%

Тунис
7%

Кувейт
7%

Сирия
6%

Иран
5%

Северная Корея
5%

Катар
5%

Куба
5%

Пакистан
5%

Бангладеш
4%

Ирак
4%

Малайзия
4%

Афганистан
4%
$682,677 Объем

Венесуэла
14%

Ливан
10%

Индонезия
10%

Саудовская Аравия
9%

Тунис
7%

Кувейт
7%

Сирия
6%

Иран
5%

Северная Корея
5%

Катар
5%

Куба
5%

Пакистан
5%

Бангладеш
4%

Ирак
4%

Малайзия
4%

Афганистан
4%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains shaped by the Abraham Accords framework and conditional Arab state positions, particularly Saudi Arabia's linkage of full ties to Palestinian statehood progress. As of February 2026, 169 UN members recognize Israel, leaving roughly two dozen holdouts where new formal relations by December 31 would represent notable shifts. Recent developments include Venezuela's renewal of consular ties in August 2026 and sustained engagement with Abraham Accords partners despite Gaza-related pressures. Latin American outreach, including potential embassy moves in Jerusalem, alongside any late-2026 multilateral talks or conflict de-escalation signals, could influence remaining decisions. Trader consensus incorporates these incremental signals against the low historical rate of new full recognitions in recent years.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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