Denmark’s March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented result in which neither the red nor blue bloc secured a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. The Social Democrats remained the largest party yet fell to their lowest vote share since 1903, while their prior coalition partners Venstre and the Moderates also lost ground. This left the 14-seat Moderates in a decisive kingmaker position during ongoing coalition talks. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen initially led negotiations but failed to build sufficient support, prompting a shift to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur in early May. Traders are therefore monitoring which centrist or cross-bloc combinations can deliver a stable parliamentary majority amid cost-of-living pressures and diplomatic tensions over Greenland.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$125,674 Объем
Социал-демократы
83%
Moderates
91%
Danish Social Liberal Party
79%
Венстре
71%
Green Left
39%
Консервативные народные
36%
Либеральный альянс
11%
Датская народная партия
6%
Союзная партия
5%
Naleraq
8%
Red–Green Alliance
22%
Альтернатива
2%
Датские демократы
2%
Citizens’ Party
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%
Инуит Атакатигиит
<1%
$125,674 Объем
Социал-демократы
83%
Moderates
91%
Danish Social Liberal Party
79%
Венстре
71%
Green Left
39%
Консервативные народные
36%
Либеральный альянс
11%
Датская народная партия
6%
Союзная партия
5%
Naleraq
8%
Red–Green Alliance
22%
Альтернатива
2%
Датские демократы
2%
Citizens’ Party
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%
Инуит Атакатигиит
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Denmark’s March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented result in which neither the red nor blue bloc secured a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. The Social Democrats remained the largest party yet fell to their lowest vote share since 1903, while their prior coalition partners Venstre and the Moderates also lost ground. This left the 14-seat Moderates in a decisive kingmaker position during ongoing coalition talks. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen initially led negotiations but failed to build sufficient support, prompting a shift to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur in early May. Traders are therefore monitoring which centrist or cross-bloc combinations can deliver a stable parliamentary majority amid cost-of-living pressures and diplomatic tensions over Greenland.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы