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icon for Приобретёт ли Трамп Гренландию до 2027 года?

Приобретёт ли Трамп Гренландию до 2027 года?

icon for Приобретёт ли Трамп Гренландию до 2027 года?

Приобретёт ли Трамп Гренландию до 2027 года?

дек. 31

дек. 31

Да

6% вероятность
Polymarket

$33,121,442 Объем

Да

6% вероятность
Polymarket

$33,121,442 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Donald Trump’s renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland has produced no concrete agreement despite early-2026 rhetoric about national security needs and Arctic competition with Russia and China. Denmark and Greenland’s government have repeatedly rejected any sale or transfer of sovereignty, citing constitutional barriers and local opposition, while European NATO allies signaled strong resistance. After initial tariff threats and military ambiguity in January, the administration pivoted to negotiations and a reported “framework” following talks with NATO leadership, yet no binding deal or legislative pathway has emerged by mid-May 2026. Ongoing efforts by Trump allies to build influence through investments and outreach have not altered the fundamental diplomatic and political obstacles, leaving traders with little evidence that full U.S. control could be secured before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.

An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Объем
$33,121,442
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Donald Trump’s renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland has produced no concrete agreement despite early-2026 rhetoric about national security needs and Arctic competition with Russia and China. Denmark and Greenland’s government have repeatedly rejected any sale or transfer of sovereignty, citing constitutional barriers and local opposition, while European NATO allies signaled strong resistance. After initial tariff threats and military ambiguity in January, the administration pivoted to negotiations and a reported “framework” following talks with NATO leadership, yet no binding deal or legislative pathway has emerged by mid-May 2026. Ongoing efforts by Trump allies to build influence through investments and outreach have not altered the fundamental diplomatic and political obstacles, leaving traders with little evidence that full U.S. control could be secured before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.

An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Объем
$33,121,442
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

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