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Политика·Дания

Какие стороны войдут в состав следующего правительства Дании?

icon for Какие стороны войдут в состав следующего правительства Дании?
Политика·Дания

Какие стороны войдут в состав следующего правительства Дании?

$125,661 Объем

24 мар. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$125,661 Объем

Polymarket

Социал-демократы

$4,269 Объем

85%

Moderates

$4,811 Объем

91%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$2,438 Объем

79%

Венстре

$17,108 Объем

71%

Green Left

$41,367 Объем

42%

Либеральный альянс

$10,126 Объем

11%

Датская народная партия

$5,056 Объем

6%

Naleraq

$1,516 Объем

8%

Союзная партия

$7,261 Объем

5%

Red–Green Alliance

$2,502 Объем

22%

Альтернатива

$4,201 Объем

2%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$13,878 Объем

2%

Датские демократы

$5,796 Объем

2%

Citizens’ Party

$3,352 Объем

1%

Инуит Атакатигиит

$1,426 Объем

<1%

Консервативные народные

$553 Объем

42%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 2026 parliamentary election produced a fragmented result with no bloc securing the 90 seats needed for a majority, as the incumbent Social Democrats-led centrist coalition lost ground while left-leaning parties collectively edged ahead. Prolonged coalition negotiations under caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen reached a stalemate in early May, prompting the king to shift the mandate to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen for center-right talks. The Moderates hold decisive leverage as kingmakers, with viable paths likely requiring cross-bloc support involving the Social Democrats, Venstre, or additional centrists to achieve stability amid ongoing geopolitical pressures.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Объем
$125,661
Дата окончания
24 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 2026 parliamentary election produced a fragmented result with no bloc securing the 90 seats needed for a majority, as the incumbent Social Democrats-led centrist coalition lost ground while left-leaning parties collectively edged ahead. Prolonged coalition negotiations under caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen reached a stalemate in early May, prompting the king to shift the mandate to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen for center-right talks. The Moderates hold decisive leverage as kingmakers, with viable paths likely requiring cross-bloc support involving the Social Democrats, Venstre, or additional centrists to achieve stability amid ongoing geopolitical pressures.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Объем
$125,661
Дата окончания
24 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какие стороны войдут в состав следующего правительства Дании?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Moderates» с 91%, за ним следует «Социал-демократы» с 85%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 91¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какие стороны войдут в состав следующего правительства Дании?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $125.7K с момента запуска рынка Mar 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какие стороны войдут в состав следующего правительства Дании?», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какие стороны войдут в состав следующего правительства Дании?» — «Moderates» с 91%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Социал-демократы» с 85%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какие стороны войдут в состав следующего правительства Дании?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.