The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоJuan Musso
98%
Emiliano Martínez
98%
Pedro Porro
50%
Aymeric Laporte
50%
Pau Cubarsí
50%
Marc Cucurella
50%
Mikel Merino
50%
Fabián Ruiz
50%
Gavi
50%
Lamine Yamal
50%
Enzo Fernández
50%
Julián Álvarez
50%
Marcos Llorente
50%
Lionel Messi
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Marcos Senesi
5%
Leandro Paredes
5%
Exequiel Palacios
5%
Nico González
5%
Lautaro Martínez
5%
Álex Baena
5%
Pedri
5%
Ferran Torres
5%
Yeremy Pino
5%
Nico Williams
5%
Víctor Muñoz
5%
Borja Iglesias
5%
Nicolás Tagliafico
5%
Gonzalo Montiel
5%
Lisandro Martínez
5%
Cristian Romero
5%
Nicolás Otamendi
5%
Facundo Medina
5%
Nahuel Molina
5%
Valentín Barco
5%
Giovani Lo Celso
5%
Alexis Mac Allister
5%
Thiago Almada
5%
Nico Paz
5%
Martín Zubimendi
5%
Dani Olmo
4%
Rodrigo De Paul
3%
Marc Pubill
3%
Álex Grimaldo
3%
Eric García
3%
Rodri
3%
Giuliano Simeone
3%
Unai Simón
2%
David Raya
2%
Joan García
2%
Gerónimo Rulli
2%
José Manuel López
-
$553 Объем
Juan Musso
98%
Emiliano Martínez
98%
Pedro Porro
50%
Aymeric Laporte
50%
Pau Cubarsí
50%
Marc Cucurella
50%
Mikel Merino
50%
Fabián Ruiz
50%
Gavi
50%
Lamine Yamal
50%
Enzo Fernández
50%
Julián Álvarez
50%
Marcos Llorente
50%
Lionel Messi
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Marcos Senesi
5%
Leandro Paredes
5%
Exequiel Palacios
5%
Nico González
5%
Lautaro Martínez
5%
Álex Baena
5%
Pedri
5%
Ferran Torres
5%
Yeremy Pino
5%
Nico Williams
5%
Víctor Muñoz
5%
Borja Iglesias
5%
Nicolás Tagliafico
5%
Gonzalo Montiel
5%
Lisandro Martínez
5%
Cristian Romero
5%
Nicolás Otamendi
5%
Facundo Medina
5%
Nahuel Molina
5%
Valentín Barco
5%
Giovani Lo Celso
5%
Alexis Mac Allister
5%
Thiago Almada
5%
Nico Paz
5%
Martín Zubimendi
5%
Dani Olmo
4%
Rodrigo De Paul
3%
Marc Pubill
3%
Álex Grimaldo
3%
Eric García
3%
Rodri
3%
Giuliano Simeone
3%
Unai Simón
2%
David Raya
2%
Joan García
2%
Gerónimo Rulli
2%
José Manuel López
-
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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