Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWorld Cup: Golden Boot Winner
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Lionel Messi 51.8%
Kylian Mbappe 23%
Erling Haaland 7%
Ousmane Dembele 6.5%
$36,670,455 Объем
$36,670,455 Объем
Lionel Messi
52%
Kylian Mbappe
23%
Erling Haaland
7%
Ousmane Dembele
6%
Vinicius Junior
5%
Harry Kane
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
1%
Mikel Oyarzabal
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Lamine Yamal
1%
Cody Gakpo
<1%
Kai Havertz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Folarin Balogun
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Igor Thiago
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Viktor Gyökeres
<1%
Ferran Torres
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Luis Javier Suárez
<1%
Romelu Lukaku
<1%
Donyell Malen
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Endrick
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Lionel Messi 51.8%
Kylian Mbappe 23%
Erling Haaland 7%
Ousmane Dembele 6.5%
$36,670,455 Объем
$36,670,455 Объем
Lionel Messi
52%
Kylian Mbappe
23%
Erling Haaland
7%
Ousmane Dembele
6%
Vinicius Junior
5%
Harry Kane
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
1%
Mikel Oyarzabal
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Lamine Yamal
1%
Cody Gakpo
<1%
Kai Havertz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Folarin Balogun
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Igor Thiago
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Viktor Gyökeres
<1%
Ferran Torres
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Luis Javier Suárez
<1%
Romelu Lukaku
<1%
Donyell Malen
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Endrick
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы