France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоGroup I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 25%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%
$18,554 Объем
$18,554 Объем
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
25%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
11%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
8%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
8%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
7%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
6%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
6%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
4%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
3%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
2%
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 25%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%
$18,554 Объем
$18,554 Объем
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
25%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
11%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
8%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
8%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
7%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
6%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
6%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
4%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
3%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
2%
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы