**Strong Friday performance has locked in overwhelming trader consensus for a 7 million-plus opening weekend.** A24’s Elizabeth Holmes documentary, directed by Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim, delivered a robust $5.54 million debut from just 855 theaters on October 16, including previews, projecting to $12–14 million by Sunday. Near-universal critical praise (99% on Rotten Tomatoes) and audience scores, combined with sold-out screenings and strong youth turnout in key markets, have driven per-theater averages toward $15,000—far exceeding initial $7–8 million tracking. Festival buzz from Telluride and NYFF, plus the film’s event-like positioning, further fueled presales and word-of-mouth. An upset below 7 million would require an unprecedented collapse in Saturday-Sunday hold, which current momentum makes highly improbable.