Arizona's November 2026 gubernatorial contest between incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican nominee Andy Biggs remains closely contested in polling, with recent surveys showing Hobbs ahead by roughly five to six points after the July primaries. This competitive dynamic, combined with Arizona's status as a purple state and the race's focus on affordability and economic issues, supports expectations for solid midterm turnout near recent benchmarks like the 2.59 million ballots cast in 2022. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 2.45-2.9 million votes because mobilization efforts by both campaigns, independent voter participation, and any late shifts in enthusiasm could push totals modestly higher or lower without clear separation yet. Historical patterns in off-year elections and the absence of overriding national events keep the range of plausible outcomes narrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArizona Governor Election: Turnout
Arizona Governor Election: Turnout
2.75M-2.9M 42%
2.45M-2.6M 41%
3.2M+ 39%
2M-2.15M 38%
<2M
34%
2M-2.15M
38%
2.15M-2.3M
35%
2.3M-2.45M
33%
2.45M-2.6M
41%
2.6M-2.75M
37%
2.75M-2.9M
42%
2.9M-3.05M
37%
3.05M-3.2M
38%
3.2M+
39%
2.75M-2.9M 42%
2.45M-2.6M 41%
3.2M+ 39%
2M-2.15M 38%
<2M
34%
2M-2.15M
38%
2.15M-2.3M
35%
2.3M-2.45M
33%
2.45M-2.6M
41%
2.6M-2.75M
37%
2.75M-2.9M
42%
2.9M-3.05M
37%
3.05M-3.2M
38%
3.2M+
39%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Arizona's November 2026 gubernatorial contest between incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican nominee Andy Biggs remains closely contested in polling, with recent surveys showing Hobbs ahead by roughly five to six points after the July primaries. This competitive dynamic, combined with Arizona's status as a purple state and the race's focus on affordability and economic issues, supports expectations for solid midterm turnout near recent benchmarks like the 2.59 million ballots cast in 2022. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 2.45-2.9 million votes because mobilization efforts by both campaigns, independent voter participation, and any late shifts in enthusiasm could push totals modestly higher or lower without clear separation yet. Historical patterns in off-year elections and the absence of overriding national events keep the range of plausible outcomes narrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be less than 4,000,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000?
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