Recent Supreme Court rulings maintaining active arrest warrants on embezzlement charges, despite the EU Court of Justice's July backing of Spain's amnesty law, anchor trader sentiment at 65.5% for no return by year-end. The September decisions by Judge Pablo Llarena explicitly excluded Puigdemont from amnesty coverage on misuse-of-funds counts tied to the 2017 referendum, leaving the warrant intact and blocking safe entry. Momentum hinges on the Constitutional Court's imminent deliberations—starting late September on related appeals like Jordi Turull's—which could establish precedent and prompt warrant suspension within weeks or by October. Historical judicial resistance and tight timelines through December limit upside for a swift resolution, even as coalition dynamics and further appeals remain swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว35% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
35% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Recent Supreme Court rulings maintaining active arrest warrants on embezzlement charges, despite the EU Court of Justice's July backing of Spain's amnesty law, anchor trader sentiment at 65.5% for no return by year-end. The September decisions by Judge Pablo Llarena explicitly excluded Puigdemont from amnesty coverage on misuse-of-funds counts tied to the 2017 referendum, leaving the warrant intact and blocking safe entry. Momentum hinges on the Constitutional Court's imminent deliberations—starting late September on related appeals like Jordi Turull's—which could establish precedent and prompt warrant suspension within weeks or by October. Historical judicial resistance and tight timelines through December limit upside for a swift resolution, even as coalition dynamics and further appeals remain swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,625วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Recent Supreme Court rulings maintaining active arrest warrants on embezzlement charges, despite the EU Court of Justice's July backing of Spain's amnesty law, anchor trader sentiment at 65.5% for no return by year-end. The September decisions by Judge Pablo Llarena explicitly excluded Puigdemont from amnesty coverage on misuse-of-funds counts tied to the 2017 referendum, leaving the warrant intact and blocking safe entry. Momentum hinges on the Constitutional Court's imminent deliberations—starting late September on related appeals like Jordi Turull's—which could establish precedent and prompt warrant suspension within weeks or by October. Historical judicial resistance and tight timelines through December limit upside for a swift resolution, even as coalition dynamics and further appeals remain swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,625วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent Supreme Court rulings maintaining active arrest warrants on embezzlement charges, despite the EU Court of Justice's July backing of Spain's amnesty law, anchor trader sentiment at 65.5% for no return by year-end. The September decisions by Judge Pablo Llarena explicitly excluded Puigdemont from amnesty coverage on misuse-of-funds counts tied to the 2017 referendum, leaving the warrant intact and blocking safe entry. Momentum hinges on the Constitutional Court's imminent deliberations—starting late September on related appeals like Jordi Turull's—which could establish precedent and prompt warrant suspension within weeks or by October. Historical judicial resistance and tight timelines through December limit upside for a swift resolution, even as coalition dynamics and further appeals remain swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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