Pedro Sánchez leads Spain’s minority PSOE government through fragile parliamentary pacts with regional parties, including Catalan and Basque groups whose support has shown signs of strain. Domestic corruption investigations involving former aides and his wife have prompted opposition calls for resignation and early elections, yet Sánchez has publicly committed to completing his term through 2027 and seeking re-election. Traders assign low implied probability to his departure before late 2026, reflecting his demonstrated resilience in navigating no-confidence pressures and legislative compromises. Scheduled regional elections later this year and the ongoing coalition dynamics represent key near-term tests that could influence parliamentary stability or trigger a dissolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
$287,419 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
2%
December 31, 2026
17%
$287,419 ปริมาณ
June 30, 2026
$237,461 ปริมาณ
2%
December 31, 2026
$49,958 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez leads Spain’s minority PSOE government through fragile parliamentary pacts with regional parties, including Catalan and Basque groups whose support has shown signs of strain. Domestic corruption investigations involving former aides and his wife have prompted opposition calls for resignation and early elections, yet Sánchez has publicly committed to completing his term through 2027 and seeking re-election. Traders assign low implied probability to his departure before late 2026, reflecting his demonstrated resilience in navigating no-confidence pressures and legislative compromises. Scheduled regional elections later this year and the ongoing coalition dynamics represent key near-term tests that could influence parliamentary stability or trigger a dissolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$287,419วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez leads Spain’s minority PSOE government through fragile parliamentary pacts with regional parties, including Catalan and Basque groups whose support has shown signs of strain. Domestic corruption investigations involving former aides and his wife have prompted opposition calls for resignation and early elections, yet Sánchez has publicly committed to completing his term through 2027 and seeking re-election. Traders assign low implied probability to his departure before late 2026, reflecting his demonstrated resilience in navigating no-confidence pressures and legislative compromises. Scheduled regional elections later this year and the ongoing coalition dynamics represent key near-term tests that could influence parliamentary stability or trigger a dissolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$287,419วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pedro Sánchez leads Spain’s minority PSOE government through fragile parliamentary pacts with regional parties, including Catalan and Basque groups whose support has shown signs of strain. Domestic corruption investigations involving former aides and his wife have prompted opposition calls for resignation and early elections, yet Sánchez has publicly committed to completing his term through 2027 and seeking re-election. Traders assign low implied probability to his departure before late 2026, reflecting his demonstrated resilience in navigating no-confidence pressures and legislative compromises. Scheduled regional elections later this year and the ongoing coalition dynamics represent key near-term tests that could influence parliamentary stability or trigger a dissolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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