**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program or receiving aircraft while it possesses the Russian S-400 system, requiring certification by the Secretaries of State and Defense that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment, plus credible assurances against future acquisitions under CAATSA and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA.** Turkey was expelled in 2019 after acquiring the S-400, losing its role as a production partner. As of late July 2026, a State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met these statutory conditions despite ongoing bilateral talks. The Trump administration has signaled openness—President Trump indicated plans to lift sanctions and consider sales during July 2026 meetings with President Erdogan—while approving F110 engines for Turkey’s KAAN fighter. However, reported discussions on transferring the S-400 to a third party have stalled, congressional opposition persists, and allies such as Israel and Greece have raised security concerns. Resolution hinges on a verifiable S-400 solution that satisfies Congress and statutory requirements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$43,481 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
10%
June 30, 2027
27%
$43,481 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
$31,959 ปริมาณ
10%
June 30, 2027
$11,522 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program or receiving aircraft while it possesses the Russian S-400 system, requiring certification by the Secretaries of State and Defense that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment, plus credible assurances against future acquisitions under CAATSA and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA.**
Turkey was expelled in 2019 after acquiring the S-400, losing its role as a production partner. As of late July 2026, a State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met these statutory conditions despite ongoing bilateral talks. The Trump administration has signaled openness—President Trump indicated plans to lift sanctions and consider sales during July 2026 meetings with President Erdogan—while approving F110 engines for Turkey’s KAAN fighter. However, reported discussions on transferring the S-400 to a third party have stalled, congressional opposition persists, and allies such as Israel and Greece have raised security concerns. Resolution hinges on a verifiable S-400 solution that satisfies Congress and statutory requirements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,481วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program or receiving aircraft while it possesses the Russian S-400 system, requiring certification by the Secretaries of State and Defense that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment, plus credible assurances against future acquisitions under CAATSA and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA.**
Turkey was expelled in 2019 after acquiring the S-400, losing its role as a production partner. As of late July 2026, a State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met these statutory conditions despite ongoing bilateral talks. The Trump administration has signaled openness—President Trump indicated plans to lift sanctions and consider sales during July 2026 meetings with President Erdogan—while approving F110 engines for Turkey’s KAAN fighter. However, reported discussions on transferring the S-400 to a third party have stalled, congressional opposition persists, and allies such as Israel and Greece have raised security concerns. Resolution hinges on a verifiable S-400 solution that satisfies Congress and statutory requirements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,481วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program or receiving aircraft while it possesses the Russian S-400 system, requiring certification by the Secretaries of State and Defense that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment, plus credible assurances against future acquisitions under CAATSA and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA.** Turkey was expelled in 2019 after acquiring the S-400, losing its role as a production partner. As of late July 2026, a State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met these statutory conditions despite ongoing bilateral talks. The Trump administration has signaled openness—President Trump indicated plans to lift sanctions and consider sales during July 2026 meetings with President Erdogan—while approving F110 engines for Turkey’s KAAN fighter. However, reported discussions on transferring the S-400 to a third party have stalled, congressional opposition persists, and allies such as Israel and Greece have raised security concerns. Resolution hinges on a verifiable S-400 solution that satisfies Congress and statutory requirements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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