Republican control of the House of Representatives remains the central factor keeping the probability of President Trump’s impeachment by the end of 2026 low. A GOP majority has shown little appetite for advancing articles of impeachment without broad bipartisan consensus, a threshold rarely crossed in recent Congresses. Senate conviction would additionally require a two-thirds supermajority, further constraining outcomes under current partisan divisions. The 2026 midterm elections could shift House composition and reopen the possibility, yet historical precedent shows impeachment efforts against sitting presidents succeed only under exceptional bipartisan conditions. Traders price these institutional and electoral realities into the prevailing consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
$709,151 ปริมาณ
$709,151 ปริมาณ
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$709,151 ปริมาณ
$709,151 ปริมาณ
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House of Representatives remains the central factor keeping the probability of President Trump’s impeachment by the end of 2026 low. A GOP majority has shown little appetite for advancing articles of impeachment without broad bipartisan consensus, a threshold rarely crossed in recent Congresses. Senate conviction would additionally require a two-thirds supermajority, further constraining outcomes under current partisan divisions. The 2026 midterm elections could shift House composition and reopen the possibility, yet historical precedent shows impeachment efforts against sitting presidents succeed only under exceptional bipartisan conditions. Traders price these institutional and electoral realities into the prevailing consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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