Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance of House impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven by projections of Democrats securing a House majority in the November 2026 midterms via a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment, as evidenced by Emerson's April poll showing a 10-point Democratic generic ballot lead. Recent catalysts include President Trump's approval rating sinking to 34-40% in early May polls amid inflation resurgence, high gas prices, and perceived mishandling of Iran military actions, fueling Democratic momentum. Impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939 filed by Rep. Larson on April 7, underscore partisan pressure, though GOP's current House control delays action until post-midterms; Senate conviction remains unlikely without supermajority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$62,255 ปริมาณ
$62,255 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
$62,255 ปริมาณ
$62,255 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance of House impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven by projections of Democrats securing a House majority in the November 2026 midterms via a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment, as evidenced by Emerson's April poll showing a 10-point Democratic generic ballot lead. Recent catalysts include President Trump's approval rating sinking to 34-40% in early May polls amid inflation resurgence, high gas prices, and perceived mishandling of Iran military actions, fueling Democratic momentum. Impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939 filed by Rep. Larson on April 7, underscore partisan pressure, though GOP's current House control delays action until post-midterms; Senate conviction remains unlikely without supermajority.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,255วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance of House impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven by projections of Democrats securing a House majority in the November 2026 midterms via a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment, as evidenced by Emerson's April poll showing a 10-point Democratic generic ballot lead. Recent catalysts include President Trump's approval rating sinking to 34-40% in early May polls amid inflation resurgence, high gas prices, and perceived mishandling of Iran military actions, fueling Democratic momentum. Impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939 filed by Rep. Larson on April 7, underscore partisan pressure, though GOP's current House control delays action until post-midterms; Senate conviction remains unlikely without supermajority.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,255วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance of House impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven by projections of Democrats securing a House majority in the November 2026 midterms via a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment, as evidenced by Emerson's April poll showing a 10-point Democratic generic ballot lead. Recent catalysts include President Trump's approval rating sinking to 34-40% in early May polls amid inflation resurgence, high gas prices, and perceived mishandling of Iran military actions, fueling Democratic momentum. Impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939 filed by Rep. Larson on April 7, underscore partisan pressure, though GOP's current House control delays action until post-midterms; Senate conviction remains unlikely without supermajority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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