Republican Lauren Boebert holds the seat in Colorado's 4th congressional district, a strongly Republican-leaning area spanning the Eastern Plains and Douglas County suburbs, after winning 53.6% in 2024. Traders price the Republican Party at 63.5% to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Boebert's incumbency despite her history of narrower margins than the area's underlying lean. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral who won her party's June 30 primary, accounts for the 37.5% Democratic probability through substantial fundraising—over $10 million raised with millions in reserves—combined with DCCC targeting that highlights shifting trends in Douglas County. Primary outcomes left both nominees unopposed on the Republican side and focused on the general election matchup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCO-04 House Election Winner
$11,022 ปริมาณ
$11,022 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
38%
$11,022 ปริมาณ
$11,022 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
38%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Lauren Boebert holds the seat in Colorado's 4th congressional district, a strongly Republican-leaning area spanning the Eastern Plains and Douglas County suburbs, after winning 53.6% in 2024. Traders price the Republican Party at 63.5% to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Boebert's incumbency despite her history of narrower margins than the area's underlying lean. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral who won her party's June 30 primary, accounts for the 37.5% Democratic probability through substantial fundraising—over $10 million raised with millions in reserves—combined with DCCC targeting that highlights shifting trends in Douglas County. Primary outcomes left both nominees unopposed on the Republican side and focused on the general election matchup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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