Recent polling trends in Colombia's May 31 presidential contest show Iván Cepeda maintaining a clear lead with 35–44% support but falling short of an outright majority, making a runoff on June 21 the near-certain outcome. Trader pricing heavily favors Abelardo de la Espriella advancing alongside Cepeda because multiple surveys, including late-April and mid-May readings from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica, place the right-wing outsider ahead or within striking distance of Paloma Valencia for second place. The right remains fragmented between de la Espriella’s insurgent appeal and Valencia’s institutional base, while recent campaign controversies have introduced volatility without shifting the overall second-place hierarchy. This consensus aligns with historical patterns in Colombian elections where right-wing vote splits determine runoff participants.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 85%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.3%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,920 ปริมาณ
$12,920 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
85%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
4%
Other
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 85%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.3%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,920 ปริมาณ
$12,920 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$4,334 ปริมาณ
85%
1st Round Outright Winner
$2,344 ปริมาณ
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,693 ปริมาณ
4%
Other
$1,893 ปริมาณ
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,655 ปริมาณ
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling trends in Colombia's May 31 presidential contest show Iván Cepeda maintaining a clear lead with 35–44% support but falling short of an outright majority, making a runoff on June 21 the near-certain outcome. Trader pricing heavily favors Abelardo de la Espriella advancing alongside Cepeda because multiple surveys, including late-April and mid-May readings from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica, place the right-wing outsider ahead or within striking distance of Paloma Valencia for second place. The right remains fragmented between de la Espriella’s insurgent appeal and Valencia’s institutional base, while recent campaign controversies have introduced volatility without shifting the overall second-place hierarchy. This consensus aligns with historical patterns in Colombian elections where right-wing vote splits determine runoff participants.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,920วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling trends in Colombia's May 31 presidential contest show Iván Cepeda maintaining a clear lead with 35–44% support but falling short of an outright majority, making a runoff on June 21 the near-certain outcome. Trader pricing heavily favors Abelardo de la Espriella advancing alongside Cepeda because multiple surveys, including late-April and mid-May readings from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica, place the right-wing outsider ahead or within striking distance of Paloma Valencia for second place. The right remains fragmented between de la Espriella’s insurgent appeal and Valencia’s institutional base, while recent campaign controversies have introduced volatility without shifting the overall second-place hierarchy. This consensus aligns with historical patterns in Colombian elections where right-wing vote splits determine runoff participants.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,920วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends in Colombia's May 31 presidential contest show Iván Cepeda maintaining a clear lead with 35–44% support but falling short of an outright majority, making a runoff on June 21 the near-certain outcome. Trader pricing heavily favors Abelardo de la Espriella advancing alongside Cepeda because multiple surveys, including late-April and mid-May readings from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica, place the right-wing outsider ahead or within striking distance of Paloma Valencia for second place. The right remains fragmented between de la Espriella’s insurgent appeal and Valencia’s institutional base, while recent campaign controversies have introduced volatility without shifting the overall second-place hierarchy. This consensus aligns with historical patterns in Colombian elections where right-wing vote splits determine runoff participants.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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