Bulgaria’s commanding 62% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final Winner market stems from its standout rehearsal momentum and dominant audience-poll results after the second dress rehearsal, where Dara’s high-energy “Bangaranga” topped voting with broad televote appeal and diaspora support. Australia has surged to 36.5% on the back of Delta Goodrem’s polished ballad “Eclipse,” which has climbed rapidly in bookmakers’ odds and is viewed as a strong jury-televote hybrid. Lower-probability entries such as Romania, Ukraine, and Czechia trail due to comparatively muted rehearsal buzz and less consistent public metrics. Traders are watching tonight’s live semi-final for any last-minute vocal or staging adjustments that could still shift the narrow gap between the two leaders before final voting locks in.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Ukraine 5.2%
Romania 5.1%
Czechia <1%
Albania <1%
$227,520 ปริมาณ
$227,520 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
Ukraine
10%
Romania
5%
Czechia
1%
Albania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Denmark
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia
39%
Bulgaria
57%
Ukraine 5.2%
Romania 5.1%
Czechia <1%
Albania <1%
$227,520 ปริมาณ
$227,520 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
Ukraine
$15,466 ปริมาณ
10%
Romania
$19,493 ปริมาณ
5%
Czechia
$9,803 ปริมาณ
1%
Albania
$9,119 ปริมาณ
<1%
Norway
$9,016 ปริมาณ
<1%
Denmark
$47,939 ปริมาณ
<1%
Cyprus
$6,922 ปริมาณ
<1%
Malta
$8,115 ปริมาณ
<1%
Australia
$48,053 ปริมาณ
39%
Bulgaria
$19,292 ปริมาณ
57%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria’s commanding 62% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final Winner market stems from its standout rehearsal momentum and dominant audience-poll results after the second dress rehearsal, where Dara’s high-energy “Bangaranga” topped voting with broad televote appeal and diaspora support. Australia has surged to 36.5% on the back of Delta Goodrem’s polished ballad “Eclipse,” which has climbed rapidly in bookmakers’ odds and is viewed as a strong jury-televote hybrid. Lower-probability entries such as Romania, Ukraine, and Czechia trail due to comparatively muted rehearsal buzz and less consistent public metrics. Traders are watching tonight’s live semi-final for any last-minute vocal or staging adjustments that could still shift the narrow gap between the two leaders before final voting locks in.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$227,520วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria’s commanding 62% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final Winner market stems from its standout rehearsal momentum and dominant audience-poll results after the second dress rehearsal, where Dara’s high-energy “Bangaranga” topped voting with broad televote appeal and diaspora support. Australia has surged to 36.5% on the back of Delta Goodrem’s polished ballad “Eclipse,” which has climbed rapidly in bookmakers’ odds and is viewed as a strong jury-televote hybrid. Lower-probability entries such as Romania, Ukraine, and Czechia trail due to comparatively muted rehearsal buzz and less consistent public metrics. Traders are watching tonight’s live semi-final for any last-minute vocal or staging adjustments that could still shift the narrow gap between the two leaders before final voting locks in.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$227,520วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bulgaria’s commanding 62% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final Winner market stems from its standout rehearsal momentum and dominant audience-poll results after the second dress rehearsal, where Dara’s high-energy “Bangaranga” topped voting with broad televote appeal and diaspora support. Australia has surged to 36.5% on the back of Delta Goodrem’s polished ballad “Eclipse,” which has climbed rapidly in bookmakers’ odds and is viewed as a strong jury-televote hybrid. Lower-probability entries such as Romania, Ukraine, and Czechia trail due to comparatively muted rehearsal buzz and less consistent public metrics. Traders are watching tonight’s live semi-final for any last-minute vocal or staging adjustments that could still shift the narrow gap between the two leaders before final voting locks in.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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