Strong critical reception (95% on Rotten Tomatoes) and solid audience metrics (A CinemaScore and high PostTrak scores) have supported steady word-of-mouth for the DreamWorks animated release, helping stabilize its second-weekend performance after a $13 million domestic opening. A typical -45% drop from that debut, combined with consistent theater counts near 3,550 and limited animated competition, has driven the market-implied consensus toward the 7-8M range. Traders appear to view the film’s cultural specificity and family appeal as providing enough holdover strength to avoid steeper declines seen in recent original animations. An upset into the 8-9M band would require an unusually strong word-of-mouth surge or softer-than-expected results from competing titles, while a slide below 7M could occur if broader market softness or rapid audience fatigue accelerates the drop.
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