Google Gemini models currently trail the HLE leaderboard, with top variants such as Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.7 Flash posting scores around 47-48% on recent Artificial Analysis and BenchLM snapshots as of mid-September 2026, well behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 series that lead at 55-65% depending on the evaluation (text-only versus adaptive reasoning or tools-augmented). Rapid frontier progress since HLE’s 2025 launch—driven by gains in multi-step reasoning, specialized knowledge, and inference-time compute—has lifted the overall ceiling, yet Google’s latest releases have not closed the gap with Anthropic’s leadership in expert-level benchmarks. Traders are watching for new Gemini 3.x iterations, DeepMind announcements, or major reasoning upgrades before year-end that could push the highest Gemini score into the low-to-mid 50s or higher, while noting historical release cadence and persistent competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$80,566 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
50%+
86%
55%+
32%
60%+
16%
65%+
12%
70%+
4%
$80,566 ปริมาณ
50%+
$29,884 ปริมาณ
86%
55%+
$26,885 ปริมาณ
32%
60%+
$14,306 ปริมาณ
16%
65%+
$5,134 ปริมาณ
12%
70%+
$4,358 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google Gemini models currently trail the HLE leaderboard, with top variants such as Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.7 Flash posting scores around 47-48% on recent Artificial Analysis and BenchLM snapshots as of mid-September 2026, well behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 series that lead at 55-65% depending on the evaluation (text-only versus adaptive reasoning or tools-augmented). Rapid frontier progress since HLE’s 2025 launch—driven by gains in multi-step reasoning, specialized knowledge, and inference-time compute—has lifted the overall ceiling, yet Google’s latest releases have not closed the gap with Anthropic’s leadership in expert-level benchmarks. Traders are watching for new Gemini 3.x iterations, DeepMind announcements, or major reasoning upgrades before year-end that could push the highest Gemini score into the low-to-mid 50s or higher, while noting historical release cadence and persistent competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,566วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google Gemini models currently trail the HLE leaderboard, with top variants such as Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.7 Flash posting scores around 47-48% on recent Artificial Analysis and BenchLM snapshots as of mid-September 2026, well behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 series that lead at 55-65% depending on the evaluation (text-only versus adaptive reasoning or tools-augmented). Rapid frontier progress since HLE’s 2025 launch—driven by gains in multi-step reasoning, specialized knowledge, and inference-time compute—has lifted the overall ceiling, yet Google’s latest releases have not closed the gap with Anthropic’s leadership in expert-level benchmarks. Traders are watching for new Gemini 3.x iterations, DeepMind announcements, or major reasoning upgrades before year-end that could push the highest Gemini score into the low-to-mid 50s or higher, while noting historical release cadence and persistent competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,566วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Google Gemini models currently trail the HLE leaderboard, with top variants such as Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.7 Flash posting scores around 47-48% on recent Artificial Analysis and BenchLM snapshots as of mid-September 2026, well behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 series that lead at 55-65% depending on the evaluation (text-only versus adaptive reasoning or tools-augmented). Rapid frontier progress since HLE’s 2025 launch—driven by gains in multi-step reasoning, specialized knowledge, and inference-time compute—has lifted the overall ceiling, yet Google’s latest releases have not closed the gap with Anthropic’s leadership in expert-level benchmarks. Traders are watching for new Gemini 3.x iterations, DeepMind announcements, or major reasoning upgrades before year-end that could push the highest Gemini score into the low-to-mid 50s or higher, while noting historical release cadence and persistent competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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