Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 open-weight model drives current trader sentiment, with reported HLE scores reaching 56% on leading public leaderboards and 46.9% on others, placing it among the strongest open models behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants. The model’s large context window, multimodal support, and agentic tool-use optimizations have enabled incremental gains over prior Kimi releases, though the 2,500-question expert benchmark remains far from saturated. Further fine-tuning, new agent variants, or year-end updates could lift results before December 31, while the gap to proprietary frontier systems highlights the difficulty of closing remaining headroom on this evaluation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$63,653 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
45%+
85%
50%+
30%
55%+
19%
60%+
11%
65%+
7%
$63,653 ปริมาณ
45%+
$15,400 ปริมาณ
85%
50%+
$24,882 ปริมาณ
30%
55%+
$11,805 ปริมาณ
19%
60%+
$9,733 ปริมาณ
11%
65%+
$1,832 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 open-weight model drives current trader sentiment, with reported HLE scores reaching 56% on leading public leaderboards and 46.9% on others, placing it among the strongest open models behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants. The model’s large context window, multimodal support, and agentic tool-use optimizations have enabled incremental gains over prior Kimi releases, though the 2,500-question expert benchmark remains far from saturated. Further fine-tuning, new agent variants, or year-end updates could lift results before December 31, while the gap to proprietary frontier systems highlights the difficulty of closing remaining headroom on this evaluation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,653วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://agi.safe.ai/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 open-weight model drives current trader sentiment, with reported HLE scores reaching 56% on leading public leaderboards and 46.9% on others, placing it among the strongest open models behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants. The model’s large context window, multimodal support, and agentic tool-use optimizations have enabled incremental gains over prior Kimi releases, though the 2,500-question expert benchmark remains far from saturated. Further fine-tuning, new agent variants, or year-end updates could lift results before December 31, while the gap to proprietary frontier systems highlights the difficulty of closing remaining headroom on this evaluation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,653วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://agi.safe.ai/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 open-weight model drives current trader sentiment, with reported HLE scores reaching 56% on leading public leaderboards and 46.9% on others, placing it among the strongest open models behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants. The model’s large context window, multimodal support, and agentic tool-use optimizations have enabled incremental gains over prior Kimi releases, though the 2,500-question expert benchmark remains far from saturated. Further fine-tuning, new agent variants, or year-end updates could lift results before December 31, while the gap to proprietary frontier systems highlights the difficulty of closing remaining headroom on this evaluation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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