Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% accuracy across text-only and tool-augmented evaluations as of mid-September 2026, while OpenAI’s strongest reported models such as GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.4 Pro sit at 54.7–58.7%. The expert-authored benchmark of 2,500 frontier-level questions in mathematics, physics, biology, and other domains continues to show headroom, with rapid gains from reasoning scaffolds and new releases driving recent leaderboard shifts. Traders weigh whether OpenAI’s next iterations or capability jumps can close the gap before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, amid ongoing competitive releases from Anthropic, Google, and others.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$97,593 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
77%
60%+
29%
65%+
18%
70%+
10%
$97,593 ปริมาณ
55%+
$33,988 ปริมาณ
77%
60%+
$31,403 ปริมาณ
29%
65%+
$9,366 ปริมาณ
18%
70%+
$5,506 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% accuracy across text-only and tool-augmented evaluations as of mid-September 2026, while OpenAI’s strongest reported models such as GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.4 Pro sit at 54.7–58.7%. The expert-authored benchmark of 2,500 frontier-level questions in mathematics, physics, biology, and other domains continues to show headroom, with rapid gains from reasoning scaffolds and new releases driving recent leaderboard shifts. Traders weigh whether OpenAI’s next iterations or capability jumps can close the gap before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, amid ongoing competitive releases from Anthropic, Google, and others.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,593วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% accuracy across text-only and tool-augmented evaluations as of mid-September 2026, while OpenAI’s strongest reported models such as GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.4 Pro sit at 54.7–58.7%. The expert-authored benchmark of 2,500 frontier-level questions in mathematics, physics, biology, and other domains continues to show headroom, with rapid gains from reasoning scaffolds and new releases driving recent leaderboard shifts. Traders weigh whether OpenAI’s next iterations or capability jumps can close the gap before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, amid ongoing competitive releases from Anthropic, Google, and others.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,593วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% accuracy across text-only and tool-augmented evaluations as of mid-September 2026, while OpenAI’s strongest reported models such as GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.4 Pro sit at 54.7–58.7%. The expert-authored benchmark of 2,500 frontier-level questions in mathematics, physics, biology, and other domains continues to show headroom, with rapid gains from reasoning scaffolds and new releases driving recent leaderboard shifts. Traders weigh whether OpenAI’s next iterations or capability jumps can close the gap before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, amid ongoing competitive releases from Anthropic, Google, and others.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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