Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 21?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 21?
21°C 41%
20°C 36%
22°C 17%
19°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
36%
21°C
41%
22°C
17%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 41%
20°C 36%
22°C 17%
19°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 21, 2026
16°C or below
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$266 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$307 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$1,955 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$1,134 ปริมาณ
36%
21°C
$485 ปริมาณ
41%
22°C
$419 ปริมาณ
17%
23°C
$384 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$202 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$208 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C or higher
$130 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,658วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,658วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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