Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on those outcomes. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31–32°C through mid-August amid typical continental summer conditions, with minimal precipitation and gradual warming tied to seasonal high-pressure patterns. Model agreement on modest daytime heating and stable steering flows supports limited upside risk above 33°C, though small forecast revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the narrow implied-probability range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
32°C 59%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
34%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
$434 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$327 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$296 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$899 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C
$696 ปริมาณ
59%
33°C
$1,343 ปริมาณ
34%
34°C
$501 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$151 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$232 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$286 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on those outcomes. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31–32°C through mid-August amid typical continental summer conditions, with minimal precipitation and gradual warming tied to seasonal high-pressure patterns. Model agreement on modest daytime heating and stable steering flows supports limited upside risk above 33°C, though small forecast revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the narrow implied-probability range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,347วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on those outcomes. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31–32°C through mid-August amid typical continental summer conditions, with minimal precipitation and gradual warming tied to seasonal high-pressure patterns. Model agreement on modest daytime heating and stable steering flows supports limited upside risk above 33°C, though small forecast revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the narrow implied-probability range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,347วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on those outcomes. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31–32°C through mid-August amid typical continental summer conditions, with minimal precipitation and gradual warming tied to seasonal high-pressure patterns. Model agreement on modest daytime heating and stable steering flows supports limited upside risk above 33°C, though small forecast revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the narrow implied-probability range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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