Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a cooling trend following early-August heat, with Paris maximum temperatures on the 20th most likely reaching 24–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and lighter winds. Ensemble spread centers on these two values, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing; stronger Atlantic flow or thicker cloud decks would favor 24 °C, while clearer skies could push readings to 25 °C. Historical late-August climatology (24.5 °C average high) and current soil-moisture conditions after recent warmth further anchor trader consensus around these closely matched outcomes. Updated high-resolution guidance and the next Météo-France bulletin will refine the distinction before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 20?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 20?
25°C 47%
24°C 45%
27°C 17%
26°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
45%
25°C
47%
26°C
13%
27°C
17%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 47%
24°C 45%
27°C 17%
26°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
19°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$21 ปริมาณ
45%
25°C
$18 ปริมาณ
47%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a cooling trend following early-August heat, with Paris maximum temperatures on the 20th most likely reaching 24–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and lighter winds. Ensemble spread centers on these two values, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing; stronger Atlantic flow or thicker cloud decks would favor 24 °C, while clearer skies could push readings to 25 °C. Historical late-August climatology (24.5 °C average high) and current soil-moisture conditions after recent warmth further anchor trader consensus around these closely matched outcomes. Updated high-resolution guidance and the next Météo-France bulletin will refine the distinction before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a cooling trend following early-August heat, with Paris maximum temperatures on the 20th most likely reaching 24–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and lighter winds. Ensemble spread centers on these two values, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing; stronger Atlantic flow or thicker cloud decks would favor 24 °C, while clearer skies could push readings to 25 °C. Historical late-August climatology (24.5 °C average high) and current soil-moisture conditions after recent warmth further anchor trader consensus around these closely matched outcomes. Updated high-resolution guidance and the next Météo-France bulletin will refine the distinction before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a cooling trend following early-August heat, with Paris maximum temperatures on the 20th most likely reaching 24–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and lighter winds. Ensemble spread centers on these two values, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing; stronger Atlantic flow or thicker cloud decks would favor 24 °C, while clearer skies could push readings to 25 °C. Historical late-August climatology (24.5 °C average high) and current soil-moisture conditions after recent warmth further anchor trader consensus around these closely matched outcomes. Updated high-resolution guidance and the next Météo-France bulletin will refine the distinction before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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