Recent ensemble forecasts and Météo-France guidance point to a moderating Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover after mid-August heat, keeping Paris daytime maxima near 28–29 °C on the 18th. Subsidence from a weakening ridge allows limited daytime heating while scattered showers or thicker stratocumulus reduce insolation, preventing the 31–32 °C peaks seen earlier in the week. Model spread centers on boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any convective initiation, producing the tight clustering around 27–29 °C in trader pricing. Updated runs from ECMWF and ARPEGE expected in the next 24–36 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 18?
27°C 37%
28°C 35%
29°C 27%
26°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
10%
26°C
13%
27°C
28%
28°C
35%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 35%
29°C 27%
26°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$30 ปริมาณ
10%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
27°C
$20 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
29°C
$25 ปริมาณ
27%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and Météo-France guidance point to a moderating Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover after mid-August heat, keeping Paris daytime maxima near 28–29 °C on the 18th. Subsidence from a weakening ridge allows limited daytime heating while scattered showers or thicker stratocumulus reduce insolation, preventing the 31–32 °C peaks seen earlier in the week. Model spread centers on boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any convective initiation, producing the tight clustering around 27–29 °C in trader pricing. Updated runs from ECMWF and ARPEGE expected in the next 24–36 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and Météo-France guidance point to a moderating Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover after mid-August heat, keeping Paris daytime maxima near 28–29 °C on the 18th. Subsidence from a weakening ridge allows limited daytime heating while scattered showers or thicker stratocumulus reduce insolation, preventing the 31–32 °C peaks seen earlier in the week. Model spread centers on boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any convective initiation, producing the tight clustering around 27–29 °C in trader pricing. Updated runs from ECMWF and ARPEGE expected in the next 24–36 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts and Météo-France guidance point to a moderating Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover after mid-August heat, keeping Paris daytime maxima near 28–29 °C on the 18th. Subsidence from a weakening ridge allows limited daytime heating while scattered showers or thicker stratocumulus reduce insolation, preventing the 31–32 °C peaks seen earlier in the week. Model spread centers on boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any convective initiation, producing the tight clustering around 27–29 °C in trader pricing. Updated runs from ECMWF and ARPEGE expected in the next 24–36 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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