Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 18 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thundershowers and high humidity that can suppress peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global runs places the most probable maximum between 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Historical August averages of 31–32°C provide climatological context, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing of any convective cooling. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
31°C 38%
30°C 27%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
27%
31°C
38%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 27%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
$132 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$18 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$115 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$15 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$70 ปริมาณ
27%
31°C
$418 ปริมาณ
38%
32°C
$40 ปริมาณ
22%
33°C
$50 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$9 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 18 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thundershowers and high humidity that can suppress peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global runs places the most probable maximum between 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Historical August averages of 31–32°C provide climatological context, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing of any convective cooling. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$905วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 18 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thundershowers and high humidity that can suppress peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global runs places the most probable maximum between 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Historical August averages of 31–32°C provide climatological context, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing of any convective cooling. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$905วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 18 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thundershowers and high humidity that can suppress peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global runs places the most probable maximum between 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Historical August averages of 31–32°C provide climatological context, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing of any convective cooling. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย