Forecast ensembles from major models indicate Austin highs on July 30 will most likely fall between 98–101°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins amid persistent summer ridging and above-average July climatology near 96–100°F. Recent guidance shows slight model spread from varying moisture and cloud cover, which could suppress or allow peaks near 102–105°F if skies clear more than expected. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects; any late adjustment in National Weather Service or ECMWF runs could shift implied probabilities before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical 100°F frequency in late July when assessing tail risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on July 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 30?
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F <1%
ใหม่
$17,599 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,599 ปริมาณ
Jul 30, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
59%
100-101°F
26%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F <1%
ใหม่
$17,599 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,599 ปริมาณ
Jul 30, 2026
91°F or below
$4,755 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$622 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$668 ปริมาณ
1%
96-97°F
$3,166 ปริมาณ
16%
98-99°F
$1,887 ปริมาณ
59%
100-101°F
$3,380 ปริมาณ
26%
102-103°F
$916 ปริมาณ
1%
104-105°F
$628 ปริมาณ
1%
106-107°F
$428 ปริมาณ
<1%
108-109°F
$710 ปริมาณ
<1%
110°F or higher
$440 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast ensembles from major models indicate Austin highs on July 30 will most likely fall between 98–101°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins amid persistent summer ridging and above-average July climatology near 96–100°F. Recent guidance shows slight model spread from varying moisture and cloud cover, which could suppress or allow peaks near 102–105°F if skies clear more than expected. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects; any late adjustment in National Weather Service or ECMWF runs could shift implied probabilities before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical 100°F frequency in late July when assessing tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,599วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast ensembles from major models indicate Austin highs on July 30 will most likely fall between 98–101°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins amid persistent summer ridging and above-average July climatology near 96–100°F. Recent guidance shows slight model spread from varying moisture and cloud cover, which could suppress or allow peaks near 102–105°F if skies clear more than expected. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects; any late adjustment in National Weather Service or ECMWF runs could shift implied probabilities before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical 100°F frequency in late July when assessing tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,599วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast ensembles from major models indicate Austin highs on July 30 will most likely fall between 98–101°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins amid persistent summer ridging and above-average July climatology near 96–100°F. Recent guidance shows slight model spread from varying moisture and cloud cover, which could suppress or allow peaks near 102–105°F if skies clear more than expected. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects; any late adjustment in National Weather Service or ECMWF runs could shift implied probabilities before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical 100°F frequency in late July when assessing tail risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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