Persistent mid-level ridging centered over the southern Plains is sustaining clear skies, strong daytime heating, and minimal cloud cover across central Texas, supporting highs near or slightly above the July 31 climatological normal of 99°F. Recent NWS guidance highlights continued hot, dry conditions through month-end with afternoon temperatures climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s under light winds and high solar insolation. Model consensus points to a narrow range around 100°F, with minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle steering flow determining whether readings peak in the 98–99°F or 100–101°F bin; any unexpected increase in afternoon cumulus or a slightly stronger southerly return flow could tip the maximum lower. Traders are weighting the 100–101°F outcome highest because ensemble guidance and recent verification favor the warmer side of normal in this ridge-dominated pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on July 31?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 31?
100-101°F 49%
98-99°F 38%
96-97°F 8%
104-105°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
49%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 49%
98-99°F 38%
96-97°F 8%
104-105°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2026
91°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
94-95°F
$31 ปริมาณ
2%
96-97°F
$31 ปริมาณ
8%
98-99°F
$153 ปริมาณ
38%
100-101°F
$613 ปริมาณ
49%
102-103°F
$30 ปริมาณ
3%
104-105°F
$20 ปริมาณ
6%
106-107°F
$30 ปริมาณ
2%
108-109°F
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
110°F or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent mid-level ridging centered over the southern Plains is sustaining clear skies, strong daytime heating, and minimal cloud cover across central Texas, supporting highs near or slightly above the July 31 climatological normal of 99°F. Recent NWS guidance highlights continued hot, dry conditions through month-end with afternoon temperatures climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s under light winds and high solar insolation. Model consensus points to a narrow range around 100°F, with minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle steering flow determining whether readings peak in the 98–99°F or 100–101°F bin; any unexpected increase in afternoon cumulus or a slightly stronger southerly return flow could tip the maximum lower. Traders are weighting the 100–101°F outcome highest because ensemble guidance and recent verification favor the warmer side of normal in this ridge-dominated pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$536วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent mid-level ridging centered over the southern Plains is sustaining clear skies, strong daytime heating, and minimal cloud cover across central Texas, supporting highs near or slightly above the July 31 climatological normal of 99°F. Recent NWS guidance highlights continued hot, dry conditions through month-end with afternoon temperatures climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s under light winds and high solar insolation. Model consensus points to a narrow range around 100°F, with minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle steering flow determining whether readings peak in the 98–99°F or 100–101°F bin; any unexpected increase in afternoon cumulus or a slightly stronger southerly return flow could tip the maximum lower. Traders are weighting the 100–101°F outcome highest because ensemble guidance and recent verification favor the warmer side of normal in this ridge-dominated pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$536วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent mid-level ridging centered over the southern Plains is sustaining clear skies, strong daytime heating, and minimal cloud cover across central Texas, supporting highs near or slightly above the July 31 climatological normal of 99°F. Recent NWS guidance highlights continued hot, dry conditions through month-end with afternoon temperatures climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s under light winds and high solar insolation. Model consensus points to a narrow range around 100°F, with minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle steering flow determining whether readings peak in the 98–99°F or 100–101°F bin; any unexpected increase in afternoon cumulus or a slightly stronger southerly return flow could tip the maximum lower. Traders are weighting the 100–101°F outcome highest because ensemble guidance and recent verification favor the warmer side of normal in this ridge-dominated pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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