Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing highs on August 3 will likely peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C due to uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and urban heat effects support elevated maxima, while scattered convection and cloud cover could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief clearing toward 34°C. Recent extended outlooks show consistency in this range, with minimal day-to-day shifts in guidance ahead of the event. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations, where even modest variations in storm coverage or timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 3?
34°C 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 9%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
34%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 9%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
34%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing highs on August 3 will likely peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C due to uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and urban heat effects support elevated maxima, while scattered convection and cloud cover could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief clearing toward 34°C. Recent extended outlooks show consistency in this range, with minimal day-to-day shifts in guidance ahead of the event. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations, where even modest variations in storm coverage or timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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