Recent passage of a cold front has brought rainfall and northerly flow to Beijing, sharply lowering temperatures on September 8 before high pressure builds and skies clear for September 9. Official forecasts indicate a high near 25–26 °C under light winds and drier air masses, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This remains several degrees below early-September climatological averages near 27–28 °C, reflecting the lingering influence of the frontal system rather than typical warm-season advection. Updated model runs and local observations through the next 48 hours will determine whether modest warming pushes readings toward 27 °C or keeps the peak capped at 25–26 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
26°C 52%
25°C 20%
27°C 20%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
20%
26°C
52%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 52%
25°C 20%
27°C 20%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
20%
26°C
52%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of a cold front has brought rainfall and northerly flow to Beijing, sharply lowering temperatures on September 8 before high pressure builds and skies clear for September 9. Official forecasts indicate a high near 25–26 °C under light winds and drier air masses, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This remains several degrees below early-September climatological averages near 27–28 °C, reflecting the lingering influence of the frontal system rather than typical warm-season advection. Updated model runs and local observations through the next 48 hours will determine whether modest warming pushes readings toward 27 °C or keeps the peak capped at 25–26 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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