Recent rainfall and a passing cold front have introduced cooler air masses over Beijing, setting the stage for variable nighttime minima on September 9. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daytime high near 26°C followed by a low of 14–16°C under clearing skies, where radiative cooling could sharpen the drop absent significant cloud cover or wind. Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability—average lows near 17.5°C but with records dipping to 10.7°C—underpin the market’s near-even split between sub-10°C extremes and 19°C+ outcomes. Traders weigh post-frontal stabilization against potential warmer advection or delayed clearing, with next-day model runs and surface observations likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
9°C or below 89%
19°C or higher 86%
12°C 49%
17°C 42%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
9°C or below
89%
10°C
41%
11°C
41%
12°C
49%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
42%
18°C
42%
19°C or higher
86%
9°C or below 89%
19°C or higher 86%
12°C 49%
17°C 42%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
9°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
89%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
19°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and a passing cold front have introduced cooler air masses over Beijing, setting the stage for variable nighttime minima on September 9. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daytime high near 26°C followed by a low of 14–16°C under clearing skies, where radiative cooling could sharpen the drop absent significant cloud cover or wind. Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability—average lows near 17.5°C but with records dipping to 10.7°C—underpin the market’s near-even split between sub-10°C extremes and 19°C+ outcomes. Traders weigh post-frontal stabilization against potential warmer advection or delayed clearing, with next-day model runs and surface observations likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and a passing cold front have introduced cooler air masses over Beijing, setting the stage for variable nighttime minima on September 9. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daytime high near 26°C followed by a low of 14–16°C under clearing skies, where radiative cooling could sharpen the drop absent significant cloud cover or wind. Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability—average lows near 17.5°C but with records dipping to 10.7°C—underpin the market’s near-even split between sub-10°C extremes and 19°C+ outcomes. Traders weigh post-frontal stabilization against potential warmer advection or delayed clearing, with next-day model runs and surface observations likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and a passing cold front have introduced cooler air masses over Beijing, setting the stage for variable nighttime minima on September 9. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daytime high near 26°C followed by a low of 14–16°C under clearing skies, where radiative cooling could sharpen the drop absent significant cloud cover or wind. Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability—average lows near 17.5°C but with records dipping to 10.7°C—underpin the market’s near-even split between sub-10°C extremes and 19°C+ outcomes. Traders weigh post-frontal stabilization against potential warmer advection or delayed clearing, with next-day model runs and surface observations likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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