Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day for Buenos Aires on September 9, with daytime highs centered near 18–19 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with September climatology, where mean daily maxima average about 19 °C, following cooler recent conditions (e.g., a 14 °C high on September 6). Light winds and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit surface heating, reducing the chance of reaching 21 °C or higher while making sub-17 °C readings unlikely absent a sharper cold advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 35 % and 22.5 % implied probabilities for 20 °C and 19 °C, tracks these model outputs, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 9?
19°C 36%
20°C 35%
18°C 15%
17°C 10%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
10%
18°C
15%
19°C
23%
20°C
35%
21°C
8%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 36%
20°C 35%
18°C 15%
17°C 10%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
10%
18°C
15%
19°C
23%
20°C
35%
21°C
8%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day for Buenos Aires on September 9, with daytime highs centered near 18–19 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with September climatology, where mean daily maxima average about 19 °C, following cooler recent conditions (e.g., a 14 °C high on September 6). Light winds and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit surface heating, reducing the chance of reaching 21 °C or higher while making sub-17 °C readings unlikely absent a sharper cold advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 35 % and 22.5 % implied probabilities for 20 °C and 19 °C, tracks these model outputs, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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