**National Weather Service forecasts position an 80–82°F high for Chicago on September 9 as the most probable outcome, with showers and thunderstorms expected mainly in the morning before partial clearing allows daytime heating.** Recent model consensus and NWS guidance cite west-to-northwest winds shifting behind a passing front, moderating Lake Michigan influences while limiting full cooling on what began as a humid, post-heatwave day. Early September’s abnormally warm stretch (multiple 90°F+ readings at O’Hare) has given way to this transitional pattern, keeping the 80–81°F bin at 46% implied probability and the adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F ranges as secondary clusters. Storm timing and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, consistent with typical late-summer variability in the region where historical September 9 highs average near 79°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on September 9?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 9?
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
$181 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$261 ปริมาณ
6%
78-79°F
$470 ปริมาณ
27%
80-81°F
$2,327 ปริมาณ
47%
82-83°F
$350 ปริมาณ
13%
84-85°F
$236 ปริมาณ
5%
86-87°F
$435 ปริมาณ
2%
88-89°F
$283 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$481 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$481 ปริมาณ
<1%
94°F or higher
$198 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts position an 80–82°F high for Chicago on September 9 as the most probable outcome, with showers and thunderstorms expected mainly in the morning before partial clearing allows daytime heating.** Recent model consensus and NWS guidance cite west-to-northwest winds shifting behind a passing front, moderating Lake Michigan influences while limiting full cooling on what began as a humid, post-heatwave day. Early September’s abnormally warm stretch (multiple 90°F+ readings at O’Hare) has given way to this transitional pattern, keeping the 80–81°F bin at 46% implied probability and the adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F ranges as secondary clusters. Storm timing and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, consistent with typical late-summer variability in the region where historical September 9 highs average near 79°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,238วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts position an 80–82°F high for Chicago on September 9 as the most probable outcome, with showers and thunderstorms expected mainly in the morning before partial clearing allows daytime heating.** Recent model consensus and NWS guidance cite west-to-northwest winds shifting behind a passing front, moderating Lake Michigan influences while limiting full cooling on what began as a humid, post-heatwave day. Early September’s abnormally warm stretch (multiple 90°F+ readings at O’Hare) has given way to this transitional pattern, keeping the 80–81°F bin at 46% implied probability and the adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F ranges as secondary clusters. Storm timing and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, consistent with typical late-summer variability in the region where historical September 9 highs average near 79°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,238วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts position an 80–82°F high for Chicago on September 9 as the most probable outcome, with showers and thunderstorms expected mainly in the morning before partial clearing allows daytime heating.** Recent model consensus and NWS guidance cite west-to-northwest winds shifting behind a passing front, moderating Lake Michigan influences while limiting full cooling on what began as a humid, post-heatwave day. Early September’s abnormally warm stretch (multiple 90°F+ readings at O’Hare) has given way to this transitional pattern, keeping the 80–81°F bin at 46% implied probability and the adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F ranges as secondary clusters. Storm timing and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, consistent with typical late-summer variability in the region where historical September 9 highs average near 79°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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