Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Panama City on September 10, driving the close market-implied odds of 35% for 31°C and 30.5% for 32°C. In the tropical wet season, abundant moisture and frequent afternoon convection typically cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while light winds and high humidity limit overnight recovery. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for a slightly warmer reading. Historical September averages hover around 30°C, so traders weigh the current atmospheric setup against these baselines as new guidance updates before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on September 10?
31°C 33%
32°C 31%
33°C or higher 14%
30°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
33%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
14%
31°C 33%
32°C 31%
33°C or higher 14%
30°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
33%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Panama City on September 10, driving the close market-implied odds of 35% for 31°C and 30.5% for 32°C. In the tropical wet season, abundant moisture and frequent afternoon convection typically cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while light winds and high humidity limit overnight recovery. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for a slightly warmer reading. Historical September averages hover around 30°C, so traders weigh the current atmospheric setup against these baselines as new guidance updates before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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