Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 9, driven by easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and a 40-89% chance of showers that could suppress afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 31% implied probability, while the tight spread to 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. September climatology shows typical highs of 31°C, but recent dry spells have allowed brief warming episodes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation totals, directly influencing resolution near official station thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
32°C 31%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
29°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
31%
33°C
24%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 31%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
29°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
$113 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
31°C
$40 ปริมาณ
20%
32°C
$5 ปริมาณ
31%
33°C
$13 ปริมาณ
24%
34°C
$23 ปริมาณ
9%
35°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$125 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 9, driven by easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and a 40-89% chance of showers that could suppress afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 31% implied probability, while the tight spread to 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. September climatology shows typical highs of 31°C, but recent dry spells have allowed brief warming episodes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation totals, directly influencing resolution near official station thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$450วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 9, driven by easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and a 40-89% chance of showers that could suppress afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 31% implied probability, while the tight spread to 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. September climatology shows typical highs of 31°C, but recent dry spells have allowed brief warming episodes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation totals, directly influencing resolution near official station thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$450วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 9, driven by easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and a 40-89% chance of showers that could suppress afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 31% implied probability, while the tight spread to 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. September climatology shows typical highs of 31°C, but recent dry spells have allowed brief warming episodes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation totals, directly influencing resolution near official station thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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