Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance points to a high near 29–30 °C in Beijing on September 7, with the market’s tight clustering around those values reflecting uncertainty in the timing and intensity of an approaching northeast flow and associated moisture. Southerly winds have supported daytime highs of 32–34 °C on September 5–6, but a shift to northeasterly flow is expected to advect cooler, more humid air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These factors limit solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum below the seasonal peak yet above the long-term September 7 average of 27.9 °C. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will clarify whether precipitation arrives early enough to suppress the peak further or remains limited enough to allow readings near 30–31 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on September 7?
29°C 28%
30°C 28%
28°C 16%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
16%
29°C
28%
30°C
28%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
29°C 28%
30°C 28%
28°C 16%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
16%
29°C
28%
30°C
28%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance points to a high near 29–30 °C in Beijing on September 7, with the market’s tight clustering around those values reflecting uncertainty in the timing and intensity of an approaching northeast flow and associated moisture. Southerly winds have supported daytime highs of 32–34 °C on September 5–6, but a shift to northeasterly flow is expected to advect cooler, more humid air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These factors limit solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum below the seasonal peak yet above the long-term September 7 average of 27.9 °C. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will clarify whether precipitation arrives early enough to suppress the peak further or remains limited enough to allow readings near 30–31 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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