**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds tightly split between 31°C (48.5%) and 32°C (40.5%) for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project a peak near 31–32°C under generally cloudy skies with brief rain spells that limit afternoon heating. Higher humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation. Slight differences in forecast model timing of convective activity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ remain low given the prevailing monsoon regime and historical September baselines around 32°C. Updated observational data and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
32°C 45%
31°C 45%
33°C 9%
30°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
7%
31°C
45%
32°C
45%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 45%
33°C 9%
30°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
7%
31°C
45%
32°C
45%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds tightly split between 31°C (48.5%) and 32°C (40.5%) for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project a peak near 31–32°C under generally cloudy skies with brief rain spells that limit afternoon heating. Higher humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation. Slight differences in forecast model timing of convective activity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ remain low given the prevailing monsoon regime and historical September baselines around 32°C. Updated observational data and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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