Recent official forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and rainfall—driven by easterly winds and high atmospheric moisture—limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below the September climatological average near 32–33°C. This setup favors the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind, as ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential for 32°C or higher without a rapid clearing trend. Traders are closely watching the next IMD update and any shifts in steering patterns that could alter the rain timing or intensity before final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 48%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
28%
31°C
48%
32°C
19%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$395 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$311 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$386 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$498 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$171 ปริมาณ
28%
31°C
$313 ปริมาณ
48%
32°C
$146 ปริมาณ
19%
33°C
$53 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C or higher
$93 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and rainfall—driven by easterly winds and high atmospheric moisture—limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below the September climatological average near 32–33°C. This setup favors the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind, as ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential for 32°C or higher without a rapid clearing trend. Traders are closely watching the next IMD update and any shifts in steering patterns that could alter the rain timing or intensity before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,710วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and rainfall—driven by easterly winds and high atmospheric moisture—limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below the September climatological average near 32–33°C. This setup favors the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind, as ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential for 32°C or higher without a rapid clearing trend. Traders are closely watching the next IMD update and any shifts in steering patterns that could alter the rain timing or intensity before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,710วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and rainfall—driven by easterly winds and high atmospheric moisture—limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below the September climatological average near 32–33°C. This setup favors the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind, as ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential for 32°C or higher without a rapid clearing trend. Traders are closely watching the next IMD update and any shifts in steering patterns that could alter the rain timing or intensity before final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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