National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 98°F for Austin on September 7 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with the current heat dome persisting across Texas, producing above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93°F for the date. Recent observations show consecutive days in the mid-to-upper 90s with heat indices exceeding 106°F, reinforcing trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Limited model spread and stable steering patterns reduce chances of significant deviation, though any unexpected cloud cover or moisture could cap the maximum in the mid-90s.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 7?
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
87°F or below
$297 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$136 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$80 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$286 ปริมาณ
5%
96-97°F
$2,725 ปริมาณ
28%
98-99°F
$982 ปริมาณ
53%
100-101°F
$176 ปริมาณ
16%
102-103°F
$70 ปริมาณ
3%
104-105°F
$57 ปริมาณ
<1%
106°F or higher
$212 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 98°F for Austin on September 7 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with the current heat dome persisting across Texas, producing above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93°F for the date. Recent observations show consecutive days in the mid-to-upper 90s with heat indices exceeding 106°F, reinforcing trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Limited model spread and stable steering patterns reduce chances of significant deviation, though any unexpected cloud cover or moisture could cap the maximum in the mid-90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,020วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 98°F for Austin on September 7 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with the current heat dome persisting across Texas, producing above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93°F for the date. Recent observations show consecutive days in the mid-to-upper 90s with heat indices exceeding 106°F, reinforcing trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Limited model spread and stable steering patterns reduce chances of significant deviation, though any unexpected cloud cover or moisture could cap the maximum in the mid-90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,020วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 98°F for Austin on September 7 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with the current heat dome persisting across Texas, producing above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93°F for the date. Recent observations show consecutive days in the mid-to-upper 90s with heat indices exceeding 106°F, reinforcing trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Limited model spread and stable steering patterns reduce chances of significant deviation, though any unexpected cloud cover or moisture could cap the maximum in the mid-90s.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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