Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds associated with an approaching frontal system are capping daytime heating in Tokyo ahead of September 6. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 24–25 °C under overcast, humid conditions with precipitation probabilities exceeding 80 %, well below the early-September climatological average near 29 °C. The narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of heaviest rainfall and any transient breaks in cloud deck; stronger northerly flow or prolonged downpours would favor the lower end, while modest insolation could allow a brief push to 25–26 °C. Updated JMA and global model runs issued September 5–6 will further constrain the outcome before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
24°C 34%
25°C 31%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
34%
25°C
31%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
24°C 34%
25°C 31%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
$1 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$114 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$168 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$59 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$330 ปริมาณ
16%
24°C
$141 ปริมาณ
34%
25°C
$379 ปริมาณ
31%
26°C
$68 ปริมาณ
14%
27°C
$225 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$28 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds associated with an approaching frontal system are capping daytime heating in Tokyo ahead of September 6. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 24–25 °C under overcast, humid conditions with precipitation probabilities exceeding 80 %, well below the early-September climatological average near 29 °C. The narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of heaviest rainfall and any transient breaks in cloud deck; stronger northerly flow or prolonged downpours would favor the lower end, while modest insolation could allow a brief push to 25–26 °C. Updated JMA and global model runs issued September 5–6 will further constrain the outcome before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,513วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds associated with an approaching frontal system are capping daytime heating in Tokyo ahead of September 6. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 24–25 °C under overcast, humid conditions with precipitation probabilities exceeding 80 %, well below the early-September climatological average near 29 °C. The narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of heaviest rainfall and any transient breaks in cloud deck; stronger northerly flow or prolonged downpours would favor the lower end, while modest insolation could allow a brief push to 25–26 °C. Updated JMA and global model runs issued September 5–6 will further constrain the outcome before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,513วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds associated with an approaching frontal system are capping daytime heating in Tokyo ahead of September 6. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 24–25 °C under overcast, humid conditions with precipitation probabilities exceeding 80 %, well below the early-September climatological average near 29 °C. The narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of heaviest rainfall and any transient breaks in cloud deck; stronger northerly flow or prolonged downpours would favor the lower end, while modest insolation could allow a brief push to 25–26 °C. Updated JMA and global model runs issued September 5–6 will further constrain the outcome before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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