Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms expected across Taipei on September 4 are the dominant factors capping daytime heating, with official and ensemble forecasts from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration showing highs clustered between 26–29 °C amid 85–100 % rain probabilities. Heavy rainfall and high humidity suppress surface solar radiation while enhanced low-level moisture and weak steering winds limit diurnal temperature rises, pushing market-implied probabilities toward 29–31 °C. Differentiation among these narrow outcomes hinges on precise model timing of convective bursts, boundary-layer mixing, and any brief cloud breaks that could allow brief peaks near 30–31 °C versus sustained overcast keeping readings closer to 28–29 °C. Historical September maxima in Taipei average near 31 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current synoptic pattern deviates from climatology and why traders weight the latest high-resolution runs heavily ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
30°C 28%
31°C 28%
29°C 15%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
15%
30°C
28%
31°C
28%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 28%
31°C 28%
29°C 15%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$80 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$80 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$280 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$1,209 ปริมาณ
15%
30°C
$18 ปริมาณ
28%
31°C
$48 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$368 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$11 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms expected across Taipei on September 4 are the dominant factors capping daytime heating, with official and ensemble forecasts from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration showing highs clustered between 26–29 °C amid 85–100 % rain probabilities. Heavy rainfall and high humidity suppress surface solar radiation while enhanced low-level moisture and weak steering winds limit diurnal temperature rises, pushing market-implied probabilities toward 29–31 °C. Differentiation among these narrow outcomes hinges on precise model timing of convective bursts, boundary-layer mixing, and any brief cloud breaks that could allow brief peaks near 30–31 °C versus sustained overcast keeping readings closer to 28–29 °C. Historical September maxima in Taipei average near 31 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current synoptic pattern deviates from climatology and why traders weight the latest high-resolution runs heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,094วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms expected across Taipei on September 4 are the dominant factors capping daytime heating, with official and ensemble forecasts from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration showing highs clustered between 26–29 °C amid 85–100 % rain probabilities. Heavy rainfall and high humidity suppress surface solar radiation while enhanced low-level moisture and weak steering winds limit diurnal temperature rises, pushing market-implied probabilities toward 29–31 °C. Differentiation among these narrow outcomes hinges on precise model timing of convective bursts, boundary-layer mixing, and any brief cloud breaks that could allow brief peaks near 30–31 °C versus sustained overcast keeping readings closer to 28–29 °C. Historical September maxima in Taipei average near 31 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current synoptic pattern deviates from climatology and why traders weight the latest high-resolution runs heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,094วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms expected across Taipei on September 4 are the dominant factors capping daytime heating, with official and ensemble forecasts from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration showing highs clustered between 26–29 °C amid 85–100 % rain probabilities. Heavy rainfall and high humidity suppress surface solar radiation while enhanced low-level moisture and weak steering winds limit diurnal temperature rises, pushing market-implied probabilities toward 29–31 °C. Differentiation among these narrow outcomes hinges on precise model timing of convective bursts, boundary-layer mixing, and any brief cloud breaks that could allow brief peaks near 30–31 °C versus sustained overcast keeping readings closer to 28–29 °C. Historical September maxima in Taipei average near 31 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current synoptic pattern deviates from climatology and why traders weight the latest high-resolution runs heavily ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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