Recent short-range forecasts from models and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a daily maximum near 29–33°C in Taipei on September 2 amid east-to-southeasterly flow, high humidity, and 50–70% chances of showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap afternoon peaks. Persistent southwesterly moisture and a distant tropical depression enhance cloud cover and instability, keeping conditions close to September climatology of roughly 30–32°C highs rather than allowing stronger daytime warming. Ensemble spread and timing of any breaks in rain introduce uncertainty that supports the market's emphasis on 33–35°C outcomes as plausible if convection is less widespread, while lower probabilities below 32°C reflect the prevailing moist regime. Updated CWA guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the official station reading.