Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature on September 1 most likely in the 30–32 °C range, with official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlighting cloudy conditions and thundershowers that will limit daytime heating through cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 %, and scattered heavy rain. Ensemble model consensus shows maximums around 29–32 °C under northeasterly flow, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns and the climatological early-September average high of 31 °C. Persistent precipitation risk and lack of strong subsidence favor the market’s heaviest weighting on 31 °C (36 %) and 32 °C (24 %), while drier model runs support the smaller probability mass at 33 °C or above. Updated local guidance issued August 30 reinforces this near-term outlook ahead of the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
34°C or higher 20%
30°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
20%
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
34°C or higher 20%
30°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$40 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$70 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$63 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$2 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$200 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$210 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
34°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature on September 1 most likely in the 30–32 °C range, with official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlighting cloudy conditions and thundershowers that will limit daytime heating through cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 %, and scattered heavy rain. Ensemble model consensus shows maximums around 29–32 °C under northeasterly flow, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns and the climatological early-September average high of 31 °C. Persistent precipitation risk and lack of strong subsidence favor the market’s heaviest weighting on 31 °C (36 %) and 32 °C (24 %), while drier model runs support the smaller probability mass at 33 °C or above. Updated local guidance issued August 30 reinforces this near-term outlook ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$881วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature on September 1 most likely in the 30–32 °C range, with official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlighting cloudy conditions and thundershowers that will limit daytime heating through cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 %, and scattered heavy rain. Ensemble model consensus shows maximums around 29–32 °C under northeasterly flow, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns and the climatological early-September average high of 31 °C. Persistent precipitation risk and lack of strong subsidence favor the market’s heaviest weighting on 31 °C (36 %) and 32 °C (24 %), while drier model runs support the smaller probability mass at 33 °C or above. Updated local guidance issued August 30 reinforces this near-term outlook ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$881วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature on September 1 most likely in the 30–32 °C range, with official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlighting cloudy conditions and thundershowers that will limit daytime heating through cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 %, and scattered heavy rain. Ensemble model consensus shows maximums around 29–32 °C under northeasterly flow, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns and the climatological early-September average high of 31 °C. Persistent precipitation risk and lack of strong subsidence favor the market’s heaviest weighting on 31 °C (36 %) and 32 °C (24 %), while drier model runs support the smaller probability mass at 33 °C or above. Updated local guidance issued August 30 reinforces this near-term outlook ahead of the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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