**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Beijing under northwest airflow on August 30, favoring mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This setup supports peak temperatures of 31–33°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (48%) and 32°C (36.5%). Recent observations note rebounding highs after earlier scattered showers, with low humidity and light winds enhancing surface warming. Official forecasts cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting typical late-August conditions under high-pressure influence, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or exact cloud timing keeps small probabilities on adjacent bins like 34°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
33°C 48%
32°C 37%
31°C 9%
34°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
37%
33°C
48%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
32°C 37%
31°C 9%
34°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
37%
33°C
48%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Beijing under northwest airflow on August 30, favoring mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This setup supports peak temperatures of 31–33°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (48%) and 32°C (36.5%). Recent observations note rebounding highs after earlier scattered showers, with low humidity and light winds enhancing surface warming. Official forecasts cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting typical late-August conditions under high-pressure influence, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or exact cloud timing keeps small probabilities on adjacent bins like 34°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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