Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 27–29°C on August 29, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to the seasonal average of about 31°C. Variable steering patterns, moderate northeast winds, and precipitation probabilities around 25–60% introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as earlier or heavier rain would suppress maxima while clearer intervals could allow brief warming. Model consensus remains close across runs, supporting the tight market clustering around 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities as traders weigh timing risks before final observations. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
27°C 34%
28°C 29%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
34%
28°C
29%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 29%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,191 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$510 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$369 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$2,273 ปริมาณ
13%
27°C
$1,078 ปริมาณ
34%
28°C
$799 ปริมาณ
29%
29°C
$1,013 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$887 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$115 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C or higher
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 27–29°C on August 29, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to the seasonal average of about 31°C. Variable steering patterns, moderate northeast winds, and precipitation probabilities around 25–60% introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as earlier or heavier rain would suppress maxima while clearer intervals could allow brief warming. Model consensus remains close across runs, supporting the tight market clustering around 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities as traders weigh timing risks before final observations. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,651วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 27–29°C on August 29, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to the seasonal average of about 31°C. Variable steering patterns, moderate northeast winds, and precipitation probabilities around 25–60% introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as earlier or heavier rain would suppress maxima while clearer intervals could allow brief warming. Model consensus remains close across runs, supporting the tight market clustering around 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities as traders weigh timing risks before final observations. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,651วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 27–29°C on August 29, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to the seasonal average of about 31°C. Variable steering patterns, moderate northeast winds, and precipitation probabilities around 25–60% introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as earlier or heavier rain would suppress maxima while clearer intervals could allow brief warming. Model consensus remains close across runs, supporting the tight market clustering around 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities as traders weigh timing risks before final observations. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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