An upper-level trough lingering over western Washington through Saturday morning, combined with light onshore flow, is the main driver keeping Seattle's overnight minimum temperatures in the mid-50s°F on August 29. National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cloudy, showery pattern with lows near 53–56°F, slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 56°F. This setup favors the market's leading 54–55°F bin at 43.5% implied probability over the adjacent 56–57°F outcome, as radiative cooling remains limited under persistent cloud cover while any breaks in showers allow modest warming. New model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seattle on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 29?
56-57°F 50%
54-55°F 35%
58-59°F 28%
52-53°F 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
47°F or below
7%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
44%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
20%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66°F or higher
7%
56-57°F 50%
54-55°F 35%
58-59°F 28%
52-53°F 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
47°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
48-49°F
$5 ปริมาณ
14%
50-51°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
52-53°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
54-55°F
$25 ปริมาณ
44%
56-57°F
$6 ปริมาณ
37%
58-59°F
$44 ปริมาณ
20%
60-61°F
$15 ปริมาณ
14%
62-63°F
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
64-65°F
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
66°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An upper-level trough lingering over western Washington through Saturday morning, combined with light onshore flow, is the main driver keeping Seattle's overnight minimum temperatures in the mid-50s°F on August 29. National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cloudy, showery pattern with lows near 53–56°F, slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 56°F. This setup favors the market's leading 54–55°F bin at 43.5% implied probability over the adjacent 56–57°F outcome, as radiative cooling remains limited under persistent cloud cover while any breaks in showers allow modest warming. New model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$115วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An upper-level trough lingering over western Washington through Saturday morning, combined with light onshore flow, is the main driver keeping Seattle's overnight minimum temperatures in the mid-50s°F on August 29. National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cloudy, showery pattern with lows near 53–56°F, slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 56°F. This setup favors the market's leading 54–55°F bin at 43.5% implied probability over the adjacent 56–57°F outcome, as radiative cooling remains limited under persistent cloud cover while any breaks in showers allow modest warming. New model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$115วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...An upper-level trough lingering over western Washington through Saturday morning, combined with light onshore flow, is the main driver keeping Seattle's overnight minimum temperatures in the mid-50s°F on August 29. National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cloudy, showery pattern with lows near 53–56°F, slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 56°F. This setup favors the market's leading 54–55°F bin at 43.5% implied probability over the adjacent 56–57°F outcome, as radiative cooling remains limited under persistent cloud cover while any breaks in showers allow modest warming. New model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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