Current atmospheric conditions over Buenos Aires, including building high pressure and light easterly winds, favor radiative cooling overnight on August 30, with dew points near 8–10°C supporting minimum temperatures in the 6–13°C range. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF show modest disagreement on cloud timing and any weak frontal influence, creating genuine uncertainty that splits trader consensus between 6°C or below and 7°C outcomes at nearly equal implied probabilities. Historical August climatology for the city averages lows near 7°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against recent observational trends of variable cold-air advection. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
13°C 86%
12°C 83%
16°C or higher 53%
7°C 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
46%
7°C
45%
8°C
38%
9°C
43%
10°C
23%
11°C
8%
12°C
83%
13°C
86%
14°C
9%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
53%
13°C 86%
12°C 83%
16°C or higher 53%
7°C 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$27 ปริมาณ
46%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
11°C
$84 ปริมาณ
8%
12°C
$20 ปริมาณ
83%
13°C
$15 ปริมาณ
86%
14°C
$15 ปริมาณ
9%
15°C
$15 ปริมาณ
7%
16°C or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions over Buenos Aires, including building high pressure and light easterly winds, favor radiative cooling overnight on August 30, with dew points near 8–10°C supporting minimum temperatures in the 6–13°C range. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF show modest disagreement on cloud timing and any weak frontal influence, creating genuine uncertainty that splits trader consensus between 6°C or below and 7°C outcomes at nearly equal implied probabilities. Historical August climatology for the city averages lows near 7°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against recent observational trends of variable cold-air advection. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$192วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions over Buenos Aires, including building high pressure and light easterly winds, favor radiative cooling overnight on August 30, with dew points near 8–10°C supporting minimum temperatures in the 6–13°C range. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF show modest disagreement on cloud timing and any weak frontal influence, creating genuine uncertainty that splits trader consensus between 6°C or below and 7°C outcomes at nearly equal implied probabilities. Historical August climatology for the city averages lows near 7°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against recent observational trends of variable cold-air advection. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$192วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions over Buenos Aires, including building high pressure and light easterly winds, favor radiative cooling overnight on August 30, with dew points near 8–10°C supporting minimum temperatures in the 6–13°C range. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF show modest disagreement on cloud timing and any weak frontal influence, creating genuine uncertainty that splits trader consensus between 6°C or below and 7°C outcomes at nearly equal implied probabilities. Historical August climatology for the city averages lows near 7°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against recent observational trends of variable cold-air advection. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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